The Human-AI replacement timeline

When will AI replace us and how?

This is a thought experiment based on my own analysis of what directions AI adoption is taking, so treat it as my own, personal predictions only, not stating of a fact.

The great replacement

AI will eventually take over both design and development. Let’s get this part out of the way and stop patting ourselves on the back saying that it’s impossible.

It will happen because the job itself has become more and more commoditized and templatized. Next to that we have growing AI skills in reasoning and multi-level reasoning.

AI now goes beyond simple “one screen” tasks and can actually assemble basic flows and measure their effectiveness. And it is getting better every week!

Sure, the current level is slightly below a smart junior designer, but we shouldn’t underestimate how fast it becomes better. It’s like the difference between GPT 3.5 and GPT 4.0.

We are at the very early stages, when some companies are using SOME ai for design, and a little bit more AI for development work.